R Problems for PS 8 -- 11.4 a) > bookvalues <- c(10,12,9,27,47,112,36,241,59,167) > auditvalues <- c(9,14,7,29,45,109,40,238,60,170) > prob4 <- lm(auditvalues ~ bookvalues) > summary(prob4) Call: lm(formula = auditvalues ~ bookvalues) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -2.7557 -2.1477 -0.4228 1.4803 3.7178 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 0.7198 1.1764 0.612 0.558 bookvalues 0.9914 0.0114 86.994 3.4e-13 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 2.666 on 8 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9989, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9988 F-statistic: 7568 on 1 and 8 DF, p-value: 3.401e-13 The estimated change in audited value for a $1 increase in book values is just the slope of the least squares regression line -- .9914 b) The estimate for the audited value corresponding to a book value of 100 is .7198 + (.9914)(100) = 99.86. 11.9 a - c: cylvol <- c(1.8,1.5,2.0,2.5,1.8,2.5,1.6,1.5) horses <- c(51,51,115,150,126,150,118,106) Call: lm(formula = horses ~ cylvol) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -50.858 -7.746 2.522 23.806 29.177 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -15.45 54.84 -0.282 0.7876 cylvol 65.17 28.30 2.303 0.0609 . --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 30.48 on 6 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.4692, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3807 F-statistic: 5.303 on 1 and 6 DF, p-value: 0.06087 > plot(cylvol,horses) > abline(lm(horses~cylvol)) d) The estimate would be -24.01 + (69.22)(1.9) = 107.508 1.14 > time <- c(.1,.15,.2,.25,.3,.35,.4,.45,.5,.55) > surv <- c(1,.95,.95,.90,.85,.7,.65,.60,.55,.40) > prob14 <- lm(surv~time) > summary(prob14) Call: lm(formula = surv ~ time) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.059091 -0.031894 0.001515 0.029242 0.062121 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 1.18242 0.03445 34.32 5.68e-10 *** time -1.31515 0.09697 -13.56 8.39e-07 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 0.04404 on 8 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9583, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9531 F-statistic: 183.9 on 1 and 8 DF, p-value: 8.393e-07 > plot(time,surv) > abline(lm(surv~time)) 69. a) > year <- c(-7,-5,-3,-1,1,3,5,7) > sales <- c(18.5,22.6,27.2,31.2,33.0,44.9,49.4,35.0) > a69 <- lm(sales ~ year) > summary(a69) Call: lm(formula = sales ~ year) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -10.4083 -1.5381 -0.5774 1.9000 7.6155 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 32.7250 2.1297 15.366 4.8e-06 *** year 1.8119 0.4647 3.899 0.008 ** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 6.024 on 6 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.717, Adjusted R-squared: 0.6698 b) > b69 <- lm(sales ~ year + I(year^2)) > summary(b69) Call: lm(formula = sales ~ year + I(year^2)) Residuals: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2.242 -0.525 -1.711 -2.415 -4.239 5.118 8.156 -6.625 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 35.5625 3.1224 11.390 9.13e-05 *** year 1.8119 0.4481 4.044 0.00988 ** I(year^2) -0.1351 0.1120 -1.206 0.28167 --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 5.808 on 5 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.7808, Adjusted R-squared: 0.6931 F-statistic: 8.904 on 2 and 5 DF, p-value: 0.0225 F-statistic: 15.2 on 1 and 6 DF, p-value: 0.007996